Vegas Lines – AT&T Byron Nelson 2016

May 18, 2016 at 10:19 pm

My experiment comparing my projected odd to win on the PGA against the Vegas odds continues this week. Find my full writep on RotoViz. Last week I recommended betting on Jason Day (+1100) and Jimmy Walker (+6600) to win . Day won and Walker finished dead last – one week, one win. This week I’m back on Walker (+5000). I also like Brandt Snedeker (+3500) and Chez Reavie (+17500). They look like the best bets.

Simply put, anything in the far right column in green is a bet with positive expectation. Darker green = better bet. Odds are taken from Bovada.

The juice is lower this week – only (that’s sarcasm) 19.7% vs. 31.5% last week. Other ‘okay’ bets this week are Jonas Blixt (+7000), Charles Howell III (+8000) and Andrew Loupe(+15000). If you want a gigantic longshot try Hiroshi Iwata (+42500).